Britain will hold parliamentary elections that determine the future of Brexit

Early parliamentary elections to be held in the UK.  According to the results of the vote,  the new composition of the House of Commons of the British Parliament will be elected, and the party with the most votes will receive the right to form a government and determine  In what scenario will relations between the UK and the European Union will go.

 A total of 650 parliamentary mandates are at stake - by the number of constituencies.  According to the latest opinion poll published on the night of Wednesday by the sociological company YouGov, the chances of the ruling Conservative Party to remain in power are rated as the highest.  Tories led by Prime Minister Boris Johnson can count on 339 seats in the House of Commons.

 The poll, which was attended by 105.6 thousand people, shows that the Tories will receive 42.6% of the vote versus 43.4% in the 2017 election, while the opposition Labor Party will gain 33.8% of the vote compared to 41  % in 2017.  For the "Liberal Democrats", which two years earlier received the support of 7.6% of voters, 13.6% of those polled are ready to cast their votes.  The Brexit party, founded only in January this year and participating in elections for the first time, the survey predicts the support of 3.1% of Britons.

 Given the particularities of the UK majority election system, such a alignment of forces in the elections would provide a conservative majority in parliament - 21 seats more than in the last election, while Labor (231 seats), Scottish National Party (41) and libdem (  15) even in total they would have at their disposal only 287 deputy seats.

 But to say that the victory of the conservatives in your pocket would be wrong.  Compared to the previous large-scale YouGov poll, carried out two weeks before the election, the ruling party’s separation from its opponents was reduced.  Then the Tories on average did not read 339, but 359 mandates.  Taking into account the errors, YouGov predicts that the ruling party will receive from 311 to 367 seats in parliament.  Thus, it is possible that after the election no party will receive a majority.  A similar situation, known in the UK as the “suspended parliament”, threatens to maintain uncertainty over the Brexit issue.

 With such a development of events, the main goal of the current vote, which the prime minister pursued, dissolving parliament, will not be realized - to try to withdraw Great Britain from the EU.  Prior to this, the text of the "divorce" agreement with Brussels, reached by Johnson's predecessor Teresa May, was rejected by deputies three times.  The new prime minister agreed with the European Union a new deal, however, its parliament, divided between supporters and opponents of Brexit, could not accept.  It didn’t help much either that the Conservative Party, for all internal squabbles around the exit from the EU, finally lost the majority in the House of Commons.

 In this situation, early elections became the only, albeit rather risky, opportunity to put an end to the current hopeless situation.  And Boris Johnson took this risk by obtaining permission from Parliament to urge the British to come to polling stations for the fourth time in four years (elections of 2015, referendum on EU membership in 2016 and early elections of 2017 and 2019).

 Johnson’s main slogan during the current election campaign is “Let's implement Brexit.”  The prime minister promises to withdraw the country from the European Union by January 31 without any new delays.

 The opposition Labor Party cannot boast of equally great determination in this matter.  Labor leader Jeremy Corbin for a long time did not admit to his views on Brexit, escaping with general phrases, but in the end decided to support the idea of ​​a second referendum.  In the case of coming to Downing Street, he intends to bring the deal with the EU to the court of the people within six months.  Moreover, Corbin promises to build socialism in the country, and he intends to start with the nationalization of railways, post offices and companies involved in energy and water supply.

 The Liberal Democrats party, led by new leader Joe Swinson, intends to abolish Brexit altogether.  The elections will show how such a radical agenda is popular among voters, as well as whether the tactical voting methodology will actually work in which Brexit opponents are invited to vote for a politician who shares their views, even if he represents another party.

 According to estimates by the organization Best for Britain campaigning for a second referendum, coordinated actions of only 40 thousand people in 36 constituencies will be enough to deprive conservatives of the majority.